Order ID 53563633773 Type Essay Writer Level Masters Style APA Sources/References 4 Perfect Number of Pages To Order 5-10 Pages Description/Paper Instructions
Predictive Analytics
Course Project
Instructions:
In this project, you will work through a predictive analysis for a decision of your choosing. Ideally your focus will be in an area of your expertise, and you will have access to data on which to base your analysis.
You will make two submissions in the course of completing this project. After completing part one of the project, you will submit a partially completed version of this project document for instructor review. A submit button can be found on the Part One assignment page.
Once you have completed parts two through four of the project, resubmit this project document and any supporting documents to your instructor for grading. A submit button can be found on the Part Four assignment page. Information about the grading rubric is available on any of the course project assignment pages online. Do not hesitate to contact your instructor if you have any questions about the project.
Part One—Identify a Focal Point and a Dependent Variable
In this part of the course project, you will identify a variable of interest that is critical to a past or pending decision. You will list and describe independent variables that are likely to be associated with the dependent variable. For each independent variable, you will assert its expected impact on the dependent variable based on your familiarity with the context.
In order to satisfy this part of the project, you will identify a target of analysis and a dependent variable, and you will complete the independent variables table.
- Briefly summarize the decision or prediction that you wish to target using predictive analysis. (50 words or fewer)
Optional: If you feel additional description is necessary to capturing the situation, provide a summary of relevant circumstances around the prediction or decision. This could include timeline, stakeholders, related outcomes, etc. (300 words or fewer)
Target of analysis:
Description of the context:
- Identify the dependent variable that will guide your prediction or decision.
Dependent variable:
- Identify at least three independent variables that you believe have association with the dependent variable. For each independent variable, identify it as quantitative or categorical and discuss its expected impact on the dependent variable.
Independent Variable Summary of independent variable Categorical or quantitative? Argument for / description of the associates with the dependent variable
Part Two—Map Decisions to Outcomes
In this part of the project, you will map how your decision or predicted outcome is related to the independent variables you are considering. You will support this relationship with visualizations.
In order to satisfy this part of the project, you will complete the following.
- For each of the independent variables listed in part 1:
- Paste a screenshot of a scatterplot here (include a best fit line for all quantitative variables). Make sure the independent variable is on the horizontal axis and the dependent variable is on the vertical axis.
- Write the regression equation of the best fit line in the table below.
Candidate Independent variables Independent variable Regression equation Screenshot of scatterplot
- For each of the independent variables listed in part 1, use plain language to explain why the relationship shown in the scatterplot and regression equation make sense in the context of the situation you’re exploring. However, if either the slope or intercept of the equation seems counterintuitive given your intuition, also make a note of that in your explanation. (50-100 words per variable)
- Run a multiple regression for your data. Paste a screenshot of the results below.
Part ThreeGenerate a Revised Regression Equation
In this part of the project, you will refine your regression model potentially by transforming variables for nonlinear relationships and/or including or excluding variables from the regression to address multicollinearity.
In order to satisfy this part of the project, you will complete the following.
Addressing nonlinear relationships:
- For each of the independent variables listed in part 1, paste a screenshot of its residual plot against the dependent variable Y here in your project document.
- Review the residual plots and determine which, if any, suggest a nonlinear relationship with the dependent variable. List suspected nonlinear variables in the table below.
- Use the Semilog and Log-log Transforms tool to create a transform scatterplot for each independent variable listed, and include screenshots of the plots in the table.
- List the independent variables with nonlinear relationships.
Possible nonlinearities Independent variable Transform used (log or semilog) Screenshot of transform plot
Addressing Multicollinearity
- Create a correlation table for your independent variables. Paste a screenshot of your correlation table here.
- Determine if there are independent variables that may be sources of multicollinearity. List them here with an explanation of why you think they might be a source of multicollinearity.
Part Four—Validate Your Model
In this part of the course project, you will make a convincing and minimally technical argument for the validity of your model. In addition, you may test your model using a holdout sample.
In order to satisfy this part of the project, you will complete the following.
- Share a one-page summary of your project. (500 words or fewer)
In your summary, include a brief description of the context and the dependent variable of interest. Make an argument for the viability of your model. Aspects of your argument may be based on statistical details such as p-values for coefficients, signs and magnitudes of coefficients, and R-squared values.
For attributes you have included in your model, be sure to address the consistency of linear relationships and any nonlinearities. Where possible, draw a connection between these attributes and the working realities of the situation being described.
If there are any missing drivers or attributes that have been excluded and which seem relevant to the situation, make a note of these and explain the reasoning and potential impacts of excluding them. In this discussion, be sure to address not only attributes excluded on purpose as well as those excluded because of unavailability of data.
RUBRIC
QUALITY OF RESPONSE NO RESPONSE POOR / UNSATISFACTORY SATISFACTORY GOOD EXCELLENT Content (worth a maximum of 50% of the total points) Zero points: Student failed to submit the final paper. 20 points out of 50: The essay illustrates poor understanding of the relevant material by failing to address or incorrectly addressing the relevant content; failing to identify or inaccurately explaining/defining key concepts/ideas; ignoring or incorrectly explaining key points/claims and the reasoning behind them; and/or incorrectly or inappropriately using terminology; and elements of the response are lacking. 30 points out of 50: The essay illustrates a rudimentary understanding of the relevant material by mentioning but not full explaining the relevant content; identifying some of the key concepts/ideas though failing to fully or accurately explain many of them; using terminology, though sometimes inaccurately or inappropriately; and/or incorporating some key claims/points but failing to explain the reasoning behind them or doing so inaccurately. Elements of the required response may also be lacking. 40 points out of 50: The essay illustrates solid understanding of the relevant material by correctly addressing most of the relevant content; identifying and explaining most of the key concepts/ideas; using correct terminology; explaining the reasoning behind most of the key points/claims; and/or where necessary or useful, substantiating some points with accurate examples. The answer is complete. 50 points: The essay illustrates exemplary understanding of the relevant material by thoroughly and correctly addressing the relevant content; identifying and explaining all of the key concepts/ideas; using correct terminology explaining the reasoning behind key points/claims and substantiating, as necessary/useful, points with several accurate and illuminating examples. No aspects of the required answer are missing. Use of Sources (worth a maximum of 20% of the total points). Zero points: Student failed to include citations and/or references. Or the student failed to submit a final paper. 5 out 20 points: Sources are seldom cited to support statements and/or format of citations are not recognizable as APA 6th Edition format. There are major errors in the formation of the references and citations. And/or there is a major reliance on highly questionable. The Student fails to provide an adequate synthesis of research collected for the paper. 10 out 20 points: References to scholarly sources are occasionally given; many statements seem unsubstantiated. Frequent errors in APA 6th Edition format, leaving the reader confused about the source of the information. There are significant errors of the formation in the references and citations. And/or there is a significant use of highly questionable sources. 15 out 20 points: Credible Scholarly sources are used effectively support claims and are, for the most part, clear and fairly represented. APA 6th Edition is used with only a few minor errors. There are minor errors in reference and/or citations. And/or there is some use of questionable sources. 20 points: Credible scholarly sources are used to give compelling evidence to support claims and are clearly and fairly represented. APA 6th Edition format is used accurately and consistently. The student uses above the maximum required references in the development of the assignment. Grammar (worth maximum of 20% of total points) Zero points: Student failed to submit the final paper. 5 points out of 20: The paper does not communicate ideas/points clearly due to inappropriate use of terminology and vague language; thoughts and sentences are disjointed or incomprehensible; organization lacking; and/or numerous grammatical, spelling/punctuation errors 10 points out 20: The paper is often unclear and difficult to follow due to some inappropriate terminology and/or vague language; ideas may be fragmented, wandering and/or repetitive; poor organization; and/or some grammatical, spelling, punctuation errors 15 points out of 20: The paper is mostly clear as a result of appropriate use of terminology and minimal vagueness; no tangents and no repetition; fairly good organization; almost perfect grammar, spelling, punctuation, and word usage. 20 points: The paper is clear, concise, and a pleasure to read as a result of appropriate and precise use of terminology; total coherence of thoughts and presentation and logical organization; and the essay is error free. Structure of the Paper (worth 10% of total points) Zero points: Student failed to submit the final paper. 3 points out of 10: Student needs to develop better formatting skills. The paper omits significant structural elements required for and APA 6th edition paper. Formatting of the paper has major flaws. The paper does not conform to APA 6th edition requirements whatsoever. 5 points out of 10: Appearance of final paper demonstrates the student’s limited ability to format the paper. There are significant errors in formatting and/or the total omission of major components of an APA 6th edition paper. The can include the omission of the cover page, abstract, and page numbers. Additionally the page has major formatting issues with spacing or paragraph formation. Font size might not conform to size requirements. The student also significantly writes too large or too short of and paper 7 points out of 10: Research paper presents an above-average use of formatting skills. The paper has slight errors within the paper. This can include small errors or omissions with the cover page, abstract, page number, and headers. There could be also slight formatting issues with the document spacing or the font Additionally the paper might slightly exceed or undershoot the specific number of required written pages for the assignment. 10 points: Student provides a high-caliber, formatted paper. This includes an APA 6th edition cover page, abstract, page number, headers and is double spaced in 12’ Times Roman Font. Additionally the paper conforms to the specific number of required written pages and neither goes over or under the specified length of the paper. GET THIS PROJECT NOW BY CLICKING ON THIS LINK TO PLACE THE ORDER
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